Who is behind the oil war and what moves prices in 2015?

Source: The Economic Collapse

Who is attributable to the oil market crash? The Saudis were? Neta in the United States? The two together against Russia? Will continue free fall in the oil price in 2015?

Below we will see that some analysts say oil prices could reach a barrel $ 20, which is millions of job losses and many billions of dollars to lose in the United States, not to mention the thousands of billions of dollars' worth of "derivative transaction, which is the energy industry-related .

The global financial system is already in a vulnerable state, intentional roll the price of oil is the best way to start a serious deflation. Whoever is in the background, playing with fire.

The price drop since the beginning of the most Saudis pointing. There is no doubt that the Saudi royal family has often manipulated the price of oil to reach a certain geopolitical goals. Tops Andrew wrote this:

You do not need to look beyond far to find examples of the world's largest oil exporter Saudi government computers to manipulate the price of oil, in order to achieve certain foreign policy goals. In 1973, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat persuaded Faisal of Saudi Arabia, to reduce oil production and raise the prices, in fact, put in place an embargo on oil exports, in order to punish the United States for having supported Israel against the Arab states. The tactic worked. Due to the "oil shock" prices quadrupled.

In 1986, the story was repeated when led by Saudi Arabia, OPEC letting the oil price steep fall launch, in 1990, when the falling oil prices, Russia tried to beat it reported the threat to oil market position for. In 1998, their plan succeeded. When the price of a barrel of oil has fallen from 25 to 12 dollars, Russia was forced bankruptcy report.

The Saudis and other OPEC Member States, of course, is the reverse of the above has been taken when cutting back on production of artificially kept high prices. In 2008, the price of a barrel of oil reached $ 147, the Saudis and others and swam the petrodollárokban.

Returning to the present, OPEC members have a strong interest in producing oil more expensive competitors bypass. Competitors such as the US shale oil production, which is vulnerable to the current low prices. Saudi Arabia has been given a discounted price before the fall in the price of oil in oil to China, and when the OPEC November 27, refused to cut back on production, it became clear that they want to punish the United States for a price war.

If Saudi Arabia wants to stabilize the price of oil, would not have anything else to do than to announce the production of slowing down. The fact that they did not do, in itself is very revealing.

In addition to the weakening of the United States is widely believed that Iran also wants to smash into Saudi Arabia. The Daily Mail wrote:

Above all, however, Saudi Arabia and Gulf allies considered the number one regional enemy Iran, both religious and political terms.

They are well aware that the Shiite-dominated Muslim sect country supports the Arab Peninsula live, resentful and angry, more than one million inhabitants, also Shiite poorer classes that are just waiting for a spark rebellion against the Saudi regime.

The majority of the Sunni Saudis did not like it, that Iran supports the government of Assad in Syria. They are aware that corruption and soaked for penalties imposed on Iran's economy is vital that oil prices start to rise again. Therefore, there is no intention of this to promote their minds.

The fact is that Saudi Arabia continues to be strong, because of their low cost of oil, reserves are abundant. Up to three years to be able to cope with low oil prices.

Others are convinced that Saudi Arabia and the United States joined forces against Russia. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro said the following example, a business forum:

"They knew that oil war going on? The purpose of this war is to destroy Russia.

A strategically-planned war is about ... that Venezuela also aims to launch a crush our revolution and economic crisis, "said the president, accusing the United States of wanting to flood the market with oil shale.

Putin falling oil prices, according to many, Venezuela and Russia seem to affect the legkeményebben.A Vladimir Putin likewise sees the situation:

"We all see a decrease in oil prices. Hear a lot about what is causing this. It is possible that between the US and Saudi Arabia agreement, in order to punish Iran and affect the economies of Russia and Venezuela? Yes, you can. "

Assured there is no doubt that Barack Obama want to punish Russia, the Ukrainian situation, the oil price manipulation and it is a good method for this, and if the US shale oil industry also suffered a few hits in the battle, the Obama radical environmentalists within the government sure will not protest.

Some people, however, the situation on oil prices is much more complex.

Marin katus, for example, there is a three-pole fight between OPEC, Russia and the United States:

"Three-Way is a war between OPEC, Russia and the United States," says Marin katus, Casey Research, a leading energy investment strategist.

Katus that oil production will not slow down further in 2015.

"We know that OPEC will not cut production. Will increase. Russia raised ever higher levels of production. "

The fact that OPEC and Russia refused to share the market share of wondering how they will perform in the shale oil industry?

"The versatility and resilience Daddy oil producers will surprise a lot of people. I do not think that one day the industry to the next crash, "he says katus.

Regardless of the reasons behind it seems that the oil war will not end anytime soon, and this is a further decline in prices.

Darin Newsom, Telvent DTN analyst of this could mean around $ 30 per barrel price. Others are more pessimistic. Jeremi Warner, who had accurately predicted that oil prices fall to $ 80 per barrel in 2014, the Sydney Morning Herald spoke to $ 20 prices:

Most economic columnist degrading to look back at last year's predictions. In my case I can not talk about it, because the most important forecasts that the price of a barrel of oil falls to $ 80, but it was very accurate, in addition to determining the cause was a direct hit.

I think this year we can stay more than forecast. Before the crisis, "normal", say, instead of returning values above $ 100, which many traders expect, I believe that oil prices will remain low for some time and could reach $ 20 before it would start to rise again.

Some people are even more pessimistic. Abigail Doolittle, such as worst-case scenario of $ 14 per barrel also can imagine.

The situation, however, that the US economy may collapse easily, not to mention Venezuela without the most pessimistic scenario, where billions of dollars worth of debt repayment will be due in the fall.

Signs of Times: A number of analysis of reading on the subject, a common motif found in almost all opinion: in 2015, anything can happen ...

Trying Whatever direction the global players steer their foes, willy or unintentionally, but they themselves can facilitate the attainment of an evolving plan year 6000, which eventually they themselves will be the main losers.

"For what is a man profited, if you gain the whole world, but forfeit his soul?" - Matthew 16:26